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Rajoni dhe Bota2026-04-21 08:35:00

From threats to uncertainty: what lies behind Trump's stance on the Iran crisis

Shkruar nga Pamfleti
From threats to uncertainty: what lies behind Trump's stance on the Iran
Donald Trump

Behind the defiant stance that the American president publicly displays towards Iran, lies a less visible dimension: personal and political fear.

When the Iranians managed to shoot down a US fighter jet, Donald Trump immediately ordered the military to intervene to rescue the missing pilot. “Advisors had kept the president out of the room where they were receiving minute-by-minute updates on the operation because they thought his impatience wouldn’t help.”

This is what the Wall Street Journal reported in an analysis of the most complicated days of the war, entitled: “Behind Trump's Public Bravado on the War, He Grapples With His Own Fears”. According to the newspaper, behind the defiant stance that the American president publicly displays towards Iran, there is a less visible dimension: personal and political fears. The main one is related to the possibility that he will not be able to present a result as a victory, which would pave the way for electoral consequences in the midterm elections in November, a concern that, according to the article, dominates discussions among his closest advisers.

The Wall Street Journal, a Manhattan-based financial newspaper, describes a less controlled president behind the scenes. On Good Friday evening, after receiving news of the downed plane, “he had been yelling at his aides for hours.” He expressed displeasure with European allies for their lack of support, complained about rising fuel prices that had averaged over $4 a gallon, and drew parallels with the 1979 hostage crisis during Jimmy Carter’s presidency, expressing fear of a repeat of a similar fiasco: “What a mess!”

On Saturday, after the pilot was rescued, Trump went to bed after 2 a.m. However, just six hours later, he returned to social media with a message urging the “crazy” Iranians to reopen the Strait, warning that otherwise “you will live in hell.” According to the Wall Street Journal, he had personally added a prayer to Allah, “to appear as unstable and offensive as possible, in the belief that this would push his opponents to the negotiating table.” He then asked aides: “How is it working?”

The results were not satisfactory. That is why, on Tuesday, Trump released another message, threatening to destroy “an entire civilization overnight” if the Islamic Republic did not accept peace on his terms. Just 90 minutes later, he announced a fragile ceasefire, which is expected to be at the center of potential negotiations in Islamabad, if they develop as he hopes and lead to the agreement he seeks.

According to the analysis, Trump's behavior in this case is not only related to his well-known communication style. It reflects the pressure to avoid a strategic failure. The fear is that the conflict will take on proportions similar to the 1979 crisis and become a defining negative element of his presidency. This also explains the attempt to quickly conclude the conflict.

The “MAGA” electoral base had also supported Trump for his promise to avoid involvement in long-running conflicts, especially in the Middle East, and had not been entirely convinced of the intervention in Iran. Now, according to the article, the economic impacts of the crisis, especially rising prices, are being felt directly by American citizens, a factor that usually influences electoral behavior.

In this context, Susie Wiles, the White House chief of staff, known as the "iron lady", has held emergency meetings with associates, political strategists and supporters of the Republican Party, with the aim of avoiding major losses in the midterm elections.

According to the New York Times, until recently it was considered almost certain that Republicans would lose the House of Representatives. However, the possibility of the Senate becoming competitive is now also being discussed. This scenario remains difficult: Democrats would have to hold all 13 seats they have in the race, including more uncertain states such as Michigan and Georgia, and win at least four seats from Republicans. Maine is seen as the most achievable, while North Carolina, Ohio and Alaska remain challenging. Nevertheless, discussions about this possibility have intensified, increasing concern among Trump supporters.

Losing even the House of Representatives would have threefold consequences: it would significantly weaken the president politically, block his legislative agenda by limiting him mainly to the use of executive orders, and give Democrats the opportunity to launch wide-ranging investigations into the administration, which even without a new impeachment procedure could hinder its functioning.

In an attempt to regain public support, and after a clash deemed inappropriate with Pope Leo, Trump will participate in the “America Reads The Bible” event. At this event, he is expected to read a verse from Chronicles: “If my people, who are called by my name, will bow down, pray, seek my face, and turn from their wicked ways, then I will hear from heaven, forgive their sin, and heal their land.” /Adapted from “Pamphlet”, from “La Repubblica”

1 Komente

  1. Z
    Zhorzh

    Trampi eshte me i zgjuar se sa e mendojn , me tepër mendon si bizesmend se sa si politikan , Marrim versionin e parë; Kërkon me çdo kusht që ta bëjë monopol dhe te kontrolloj tregun botëror te naftën dhe gazit kudo qe ndodhet, te dobesoj dy aktorët kryesor konkurent , dhe meqenëse SHBA janë prodhuesit me te medhen te naftës dhe ekonomi e pa varur , u dikton dhe i detyron vendet ë tjera që ne shkëmbim të borxhit Amerikan ta merrni ne nafte ( nuk do u linte epilogi tjetër dhe do ishin te detyruar per te mbijetuar ta pranonin kushtin ) por situata është e veshtir dhe shume e rrezikshme për mbijetesë politike te krahut qe përfaqëson mbasi mentaliteti , kultura dhe psikologjia e kombit Amerikan si një populle i moderuar në kohe ne raport me kombet e tjere nuk pranon kostot qe mund te prodhoj konflikti , keshtu qe kostua kthehet ne mbështetje politike , Varianti i dytë ai politik bota do kaloj ne asfiksi ekonomike dhe te gjitha shtetet e bllokut perendimor pra mbështetësit do gjenden ne situata te vështir politikisht dhe do humbisni pushtetin me rrezikshmëri për demokracit globale mbasi do pirodhotiste dy ekstremet majtas apo djathtas qe s janë gje tjetër veçse ato komoniste apo fashiste dhe bota do do kthehej dekada mbrapa ne kohe ku do pirodhotisnte luftën e tret boterore dhe do ndodhte ajo qe thoshte i madhi ANSHTAINI ku jeta ne toke do fillonte nga njeqelizoret prap nga e para ; Gjithesejcili ta gjykoj vete te mirat dhe te këqijat te secilit variant Respekt

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