FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
Paradoxically given that a rematch between Trump and Biden is what most Americans don't want to see in the next presidential race, the early fireworks in the 2024 campaign are confirming them both as their parties' most likely candidates. ..
As America celebrated its independence while being divided over the true nature of its values, it also braced itself for a toxic presidential campaign that could deepen its political trauma and push the electoral system back to its limits.
Donald Trump, for example, put on a show of strength over the Fourth of July weekend, highlighting his early dominance of the Republican presidential race and the tough task his rivals face in trying to derail his bid to win. their party's nomination for the third time in a row.
The former commander-in-chief drew a massive crowd at a rally in the key state of South Carolina on Saturday, which echoed his false claims of election meddling and his lawsuit over the alleged misuse of classified documents after he left the task.
But the high-profile event in Pickens also showed the staying power of his personality and wild political appeal to base GOP voters. And, along with his lead in the primaries, it should be a warning to Democrats that the most divisive president in modern history has a realistic chance for a return to the White House that is likely to be even more tumultuous than his tenure. his first.
But in the latest CNN poll, conducted after Trump's federal impeachment, 47% of Republicans and Republican-leaning registered voters still said the former president is their first choice for the nomination, with support for DeSantis ranking at 26 %. An NBC News poll late last month found Trump with a roughly 30-point lead over DeSantis and all other contenders. The former president's team released a memo over the weekend touting other polls showing his comfortable lead as it sought to build a sense of unstoppable momentum.
More than six months before the first Republican primary voters cast their ballots, it's too early to predict how the race will turn out. The unexpected events and the weight of Trump's criminal trials may be starting to have an effect, and it would be unusual if at least one of his rivals fails to create a surge in popularity.
Whoever ends up winning the Republican nomination, it's now clear that the party will present Americans with the most far-right conservative agenda of any major party in decades.
Trump is using increasingly demagogic rhetoric, and other candidates have followed suit by vowing to gut the FBI and the Justice Department and dismantle professional bureaucracy in the federal government.
Some of the big questions that will decide the 2024 GOP primary are beginning to be answered.
Neither candidate has yet proven capable of consolidating opposition to the former president or removing enough of his "Make America Great Again" faithful to weaken his dominance.
Another unknown of the 2024 campaign is whether the criminal charges Trump faces will derail his campaign. But in a CNN poll after the indictment, there are few signs it is affecting his standing in the race.
In fact, some polls suggest that the indictments are playing into the former president's preconceived narrative that he is the victim of persecution by the Biden administration, which has become a de facto truth for many GOP voters.
- Problemet e DeSantis ndihmojnë për të hedhur dritë mbi pozicionin e fortë të Trump. Guvernatori i Floridës po thekson të dhënat e tij konservatore dhe po përdor një fushatë luftarake kulturore për të argumentuar se ai jo vetëm që është më autentikisht konservator se Trump, por do të ishte shumë më mirë në zbatimin e politikave të tilla në Shtëpinë e Bardhë. Në letër, qasja DeSantis është logjikisht e shëndoshë. Por lufta e tij për të fituar më shumë mbështetje tregon se apeli i Trump në Partinë Republikane është i jashtëzakonshëm, emocional dhe i rrënjosur po aq në personalitetin e tij shkatërrues, rrënues të establishmentit, ashtu edhe në ideologji. “
Një fushatë konservatore e fortë mund të trembë përsëri më shumë votues të qendrës. Trump mund të jetë veçanërisht i prekshëm ndaj këtij trendi duke pasur parasysh se ai ka të ngjarë të dalë në gjyq në një ose më shumë nga çështjet penale kundër tij në vapën e sezonit zgjedhor. Ndërsa kjo mund të përforcojë perceptimet në mesin e votuesve kryesorë të GOP se ai është viktimë, ose mund t'u kujtojë votuesve të tjerë mundësinë që një kriminel mund të shërbejë si president.
Nga ana tjetër Biden, pavarësisht sondazheve që treguan se shumica e demokratëve nuk donin që ai të kandidonte për një mandat të dytë, kandidatura e tij mbetet më e favorizuara.
Paradoxically given that a rematch between Trump and Biden is what most Americans don't want to see in the next presidential race, the early fireworks in the 2024 campaign are confirming them both as their parties' most likely candidates. / Adapted "Pamphlet" from "CNN"
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