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According to the analysis, changes in the American approach to the international order could create a new strategic environment, especially if Washington faces multiple commitments simultaneously.
China strongly condemned the United States' actions against Iran, reaffirming its long-standing position of non-interference in the internal affairs of sovereign states.
According to an analysis published by Sky News, beyond the strong public rhetoric, Beijing is examining developments in a broader strategic framework, weighing both the risks and opportunities that could arise.
In a telephone conversation with the Russian Foreign Minister, his Chinese counterpart Wang Yi described the US actions as “unacceptable” and a violation of international norms, using the expression “the law of the jungle.” This reaction is consistent with China’s consistent line on protecting the sovereignty and territorial integrity of states.
Sky News notes that, in the short term, China has concrete reasons for concern. Although Beijing considers Iran a partner with internal challenges and fragile stability, it sees it as a balancing factor against American influence in the Middle East. China also remains the main buyer of Iranian oil and, according to estimates by analysts quoted by Sky News, absorbs about 80% of its exports. Ensuring the continuity of these supplies is a core energy interest for Beijing.
In the long term, the analysis suggests that the Chinese leadership may also see potential advantages. A prolonged US military engagement on a new front could affect the allocation of resources and US strategic focus in other regions. According to Sky News, such a situation could reinforce the narrative promoted by Beijing that US foreign policy contributes to destabilization, a message that finds support in some countries of the so-called “Global South”.
The developments could also have an impact on high-priority issues for China, such as Taiwan. Beijing has repeatedly stated that it aims to reunify the island through diplomatic means, while considering it part of its territory. According to the analysis, changes in the American approach to the international order could create a new strategic environment, especially if Washington faces multiple commitments at the same time.
However, Sky News emphasizes that the Chinese leadership maintains a cautious stance. President Donald Trump's public calls to the Iranian people to "rise up" against the authorities constitute a worrying element for Beijing. Domestic stability and the avoidance of destabilizing movements remain declared priorities of Chinese policy.
In this context, the analysis also mentions Donald Trump's planned visit to Beijing in the coming weeks, which will take place during a period of heightened geopolitical tension.
In conclusion, Sky News assesses that, despite the possible room for strategic maneuver, China considers the current situation as a phase of increasing uncertainty and with a direct impact on its long-term interests.
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