FLASH
Shkruar nga Ylli Pata
May 14, 2023 showed that Sali Berisha's party is not only not a force that absorbs the capacities or active opposition voices in fertile grounds for the right, but also drives away the hitherto fertile forces that have left it.
The perceptual result that emerges from the polls that take place after the division of the Democratic Party, does not seem to be a real measure of the situation of the forces within the opposition.
This does not mean that Lulzim Basha's group is above the pulpit, but in reality there are more things that are wrong.
And this was clearly and accurately shown by the result of the local elections of May 14, 2023, previously it was also shown on March 6, 2022.
May 14, 2023 showed that Sali Berisha's party is not only not a force that absorbs the capacities or active opposition voices in fertile grounds for the right, but also drives away the hitherto fertile forces that have left it.
He showed Shkodra, Tropoja, Kukësi, Kamza or other areas. The results of the pre-electoral polls are known, which gave an easy victory for the coalition of Sali Berisha and Ilir Meta, i.e. BF, in all the above bastions. But the result is totally different, starting from Shkodra.
What has happened is an epochal change in the 33-year-old way of voting in these areas. Where for the first time there was a clear, political and specific protest vote against Sali Berisha's party.
All this did not appear in the polls before the elections, when in fact, it was also clearly seen in the elections of March 6, 2022 in Shkodër, where the coalition between Sali Berisha and Ilir Meta won in Shkodër only as a result of the open alliance with Agron Çela, who was the leader of the LSI there, and the secret alliance with Tom Doshi, who is an open enemy of Lulzim Basha and publicly declared him in an interview, blaming him as the culprit of the declaration Non Grata by the USA.
Therefore, the measurement of perception according to the method before May 14 does not seem to show the real reality within the opposition, which was clearly proven by two parties of elections.
Of course, this does not mean that Lulzim Basha's PD has the majority of support, even though it has most of the surviving structures of the Democratic Party. Militants of the elector on two completely different sides, but the fact is that on May 14, the pulpit, through Gazmend Bardhi and other deputies, members of the leadership of the DP, stopped the DP from competing with its candidates in the elections.
Avoiding this race has given us an unrealistic perception of the actual potential forces within the opposition. The legend of the relative majority of the pulpit is more than a false myth, it has fallen in the May 14 election. And to re-measure the temperature inside the opposition, another thermometer is needed, which is sensitive to all the indicators within this constantly changing situation on the ground.
Just to illustrate the situation. Before the elections of May 14, 2023, all the polls that were published on television gave the victory of the candidate of the Bardh Spahia pulpit in Shkodër. Only Report tv in recent weeks presented the situation in a more balanced way.
Meanwhile, Benet Beci's staff had a clear view from the beginning that showed his victory in all the voting centers in Shkodër. Which actually became a fact. This is because the measurement of opinion was more specific from the scientific side, but also taking into account changes in opinion.
If it is viewed virtually by the noise, or even the support of the big media, the Forum is more active, but this is from above, not on the territory.
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