FLASH
Shkruar nga Pamfleti
The objectives and goals do not correspond to the methods of action by Iran...
The attack that Iran launched against Israel using at least 200 ballistic missiles is in all likelihood destined to become one of the many mysteries of Middle Eastern history. According to initial analysis, the targets were three Israeli air force bases and an intelligence headquarters north of Tel Aviv. And the goal, at least as stated by Revolutionary Guards spokesmen, was to avenge "the killing of Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah and a senior Quds Force commander, Abbas Nilforoushan."
However, the objectives and goals do not correspond to the methods of action. Twelve hours before the Iranian missiles took off, the New York Times announced the attack, deeming it inevitable. Israeli authorities later confirmed that they had been warned well in advance by the US that Iran was preparing to attack. So early that Benjamin Netanyahu had time to call Vladimir Putin to ask him to try to stop the Iranians. Iranians who, according to various sources, announced their intentions. We close by noting the strange simultaneity between the wave of rockets and the attack in Jaffa, where 6 people were killed in the street by two terrorists armed with assault rifles.
No less strange is the behavior of the Iranian authorities. The new president, the reformist Masoud Pezeshkian, had expressed to the internationals (Russian Shoigu, British Prime Minister Starmer, Vatican Secretary of State Parolin, French President Macron) a certain conciliatory tendency, despite the usual accusations against Israel. Nor is it possible to forget the repeated calls for "strategic patience" by Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader.
Of course, words are worth as much as they are worth. And in Tehran they understood very well that the strikes that Israel brought against Hezbollah, until the elimination of the leader Nasrallah, were all strikes aimed at affecting the region that Iran has built up over many years and at considerable cost, including human costs. However, it is possible that, precisely for these reasons, the pressure to act that the generals and militias have long exerted on the more cautious politico-religious power has finally achieved its goal. Perhaps softened by those "warnings" that limited the damage of the Iranian attack on Israel.
We will see developments in the coming weeks. And we will see if there will be any change in Tehran. But it still seems unlikely that Iran considers itself capable of a head-to-head clash with Israel, which has the US and several other Western states behind it. / Adapted "Pamphlet" from "Inside Over"
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