Supercomputer Prediction/Who will win the Champions League, the most favored teams

The latest Opta supercomputer analysis has ranked Arsenal as the new favourites to win the 2025/26 Champions League.

After consecutive 2–0 victories over Athletic Bilbao and Olympiacos, Mikel Arteta's side now have an 18.9% chance of lifting the trophy, ahead of Liverpool on 14.7% and Paris Saint-Germain on 13.9%.

The data, based on results after the second round of the group stage, also gives the Gunners a 73% chance of progressing to the quarter-finals, almost 50% to the semi-finals and over 31% to reach the final.

Manchester City and Bayern Munich, who were among the main contenders last season, have fallen to single-digit win probabilities of 9.7% and 9.5% respectively.

Surprisingly, Spanish giants Barcelona (8.2%) and Real Madrid (4.9%) are outside the top five in the updated predictions.

Inter Milan are eighth with just under 4% chance, while Chelsea (3.5%) and Newcastle (3.1%) complete the top 10.

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