
The history of Middle Eastern conflicts reminds everyone that there are no "absolute" weapons, insurmountable strongholds or invincible technology.
The Pasdaran exercise, which "targeted" the Israeli base in the Nevatim area in February, prepared the Israeli army and the allied coalition. But Tehran may try again, with other targets.
Pasdaran organize an exercise using medium and long range systems. From a desert area they launch four Zolfaghar - 700 km in radius -, three Haxhi Qasem (1400 km), Kheybar (1450 km), Emad (1750 km) and Ghadr (2000 km).
It is not the usual fire maneuver, but it has a symbolic meaning. They must hit an area where hangars have been rebuilt to represent the Nevatim base, in southern Israel, an installation that hosts F35 fighters. For Zolfaghar the Jewish state is a long way off and it is not known whether the winter test was successful, but what happened next is clearer.
Operation Vera Promessa begins, the announced Iranian retaliation for the killing of senior officers in Damascus. The consequences are known: the inter-allied shield blocked most of the 300 drones, cruise and ballistic drones. Great success, thanks to the combination of systems: Israeli Arrow 3 and American ones (including equipment on ships in the Mediterranean and the Red Sea); American, British, French and Jordanian planes flying over and over to stem the tide; Saudi and Emirati intelligence cooperation; the network of sensors and radars that have long kept tabs on the ayatollahs.
The coalition, mixed with different ideas and goals, worked: it sent a signal to Tehran and demonstrated that the defense was sufficient.
The coin of efficiency has, as always, the other side. However, five ballistic missiles overcame the obstacle and hit Nevatim, damaging a C 130 carrier, a runway and a hangar. However, four others reached a second base in the Negev.
While dozens of other "closed" rockets far from the borders of the Jewish state were stopped by technical problems.
The gap found by the guardians does not diminish the results of the joint protection, but it indicates a warning.
The Iranians hypothesized to target Nevatim and hinted with the winter maneuver that they finally tried and succeeded.
The explosions opened craters but the base remained functional and the IDF immediately took care to "seal" the holes.
For the next "duel" it is not excluded that the Pasdaran will increase the number of drones and missiles to force their opponents to expand their defenses, where it is likely that the amount of ballistic missiles will also increase, which are more difficult to intercept. stopped.
The Iranians will take note of what didn't work and perhaps try again, but with unpredictable consequences.
The history of Middle Eastern conflicts reminds everyone that there are no "absolute" weapons, insurmountable strongholds or invincible technology.
Israel itself found this out the hard way on October 7. For this reason, diplomats and observers suggest not to take the enemy lightly. Either in guerrilla camouflage or Revolutionary Guard uniform./ Taken from: Corriere Della Sera , Adaptation: Pamphlet
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